Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.000606 0.000696 0.000793 0.000903 0.001025 0.001155 0.001304
2025-05-04 0.000460 0.000583 0.000724 0.000896 0.001098 0.001326 0.001602
2025-05-11 0.000376 0.000510 0.000672 0.000877 0.001129 0.001423 0.001791
2025-05-18 0.000326 0.000470 0.000651 0.000890 0.001192 0.001556 0.002023
2025-05-25 0.000283 0.000433 0.000627 0.000892 0.001237 0.001664 0.002224
2025-06-01 0.000238 0.000385 0.000583 0.000864 0.001239 0.001715 0.002352
2025-06-08 0.000201 0.000344 0.000545 0.000837 0.001240 0.001761 0.002472
2025-06-15 0.000177 0.000319 0.000526 0.000835 0.001270 0.001844 0.002640
2025-06-22 0.000157 0.000297 0.000509 0.000833 0.001299 0.001925 0.002807
2025-06-29 0.000138 0.000274 0.000487 0.000822 0.001314 0.001987 0.002948
2025-07-06 0.000120 0.000251 0.000463 0.000806 0.001320 0.002035 0.003070
2025-07-13 0.000111 0.000244 0.000463 0.000825 0.001376 0.002153 0.003289
2025-07-20 0.000102 0.000233 0.000458 0.000837 0.001424 0.002261 0.003500
2025-07-27 0.000089 0.000216 0.000440 0.000827 0.001438 0.002322 0.003646
2025-08-03 0.000078 0.000198 0.000419 0.000810 0.001440 0.002365 0.003767
2025-08-10 0.000071 0.000191 0.000415 0.000821 0.001485 0.002471 0.003980
2025-08-17 0.000064 0.000181 0.000407 0.000824 0.001516 0.002556 0.004163
2025-08-24 0.000055 0.000164 0.000382 0.000797 0.001499 0.002569 0.004242
2025-08-31 0.000046 0.000148 0.000360 0.000772 0.001483 0.002583 0.004320
2025-09-07 0.000041 0.000139 0.000351 0.000770 0.001504 0.002652 0.004482
2025-09-14 0.000037 0.000132 0.000342 0.000768 0.001525 0.002722 0.004646
2025-09-21 0.000032 0.000122 0.000329 0.000758 0.001532 0.002769 0.004776
2025-09-28 0.000028 0.000113 0.000315 0.000743 0.001529 0.002800 0.004881